XRP: Expert Predicts 2 Realistic Post-ETF Scenarios

An expert says there are only two realistic price paths for XRP after the ETF launch — steady accumulation or limited rally. Which do you think is more likely, and why?
5个答案
I’m in for the long game. ETFs + OTC accumulation = a foundation, even if it’s not explosive.
This ETF’s not a gamble—it’s a slow-accumulate play. I like steady growth better than wild swings.
If accumulation slows because of high costs, don’t expect a big pump. This could be a fake-out.
According to the CryptoBasic article, a market commentator (Chad Steingraber) argues there are really just two practical scenarios for XRP’s price after the ETF ecosystem kicks in. One: ETF issuers steadily accumulate XRP over time, absorbing supply, and that supports gradual price growth. Two: accumulation slows because the cost or demand from issuers gets too high — meaning XRP could still rise, but less aggressively than some ultra-bulls hope.
What’s compelling is that both cases are positive for long-term XRP holders. In the first path, you get the classic accumulation trade: supply gets locked, demand builds, and price appreciation follows steadily. In the second, the slower pace may frustrate traders who want a moonshot, but it could also signal a more stable, mature market. Slower doesn’t mean weak.
Steingraber also highlights an important nuance: ETF issuers often buy XRP via OTC desks, which hides a lot of that demand from public order books. That could mean real accumulation is happening behind the scenes, even if it’s not obvious on-chain. Plus, because these ETFs settle on a T+1 basis (per the article), the visible effect on market price will be delayed, not instantaneous.
My take? The ETF launch likely brings a long-term structural change, not a flash pump. But how fast prices go up depends on how aggressively ETF issuers buy — and how much XRP they’re willing to pay for. Real bulls will lean into the first scenario, but even in the second, there’s room for meaningful gains. Be patient, and pay attention to inflow patterns, not just headlines.
Both paths make sense. I’ll hedge: hold most XRP, but take some profits as price rises.
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