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Switzerland Crypto Regulations: Why It Is Called Crypto Valley
When you think of Switzerland, you probably picture snow-capped mountains, expensive watches, and secretive bankers hiding gold in underground vaults. For decades, this small European nation was the fortress of traditional finance. But over the last ten years, Switzerland has executed one of the most impressive pivots in economic history. It hasn't just tolerated the disruption of cryptocurrency; it has actively invited it in, creating a regulatory haven now famously known as "Crypto Valley" in the canton of Zug.
For investors and companies tired of the hostile regulatory environment in places like the United States, Switzerland feels like a breath of fresh air. It offers something that is incredibly rare in the crypto world: clarity. While other nations regulate by enforcement, suing projects years after they launch, Swiss regulators sit down with founders before they even write a line of code.
The FINMA Approach: Token Classification
The backbone of the Swiss regulatory framework is FINMA, the Financial Market Supervisory Authority. Unlike the SEC in America, which struggles to decide if a token is a security or a commodity, FINMA released clear guidelines way back in 2018. They don't treat all crypto as the same thing. Instead, they look at the "underlying economic function" of the token.
They break digital assets down into three distinct categories. First, there are Payment Tokens. These are cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Litecoin that are designed strictly to be used as a means of payment for goods or services. FINMA does not treat these as securities, which is a massive win for the industry. Second, there are Utility Tokens. These are tokens that provide access to a digital application or service, essentially like a digital key. If the utility is already functional, these are also generally not securities. Finally, there are Asset Tokens. These represent assets such as a debt or equity claim on the issuer. These are treated as securities and are strictly regulated, just like traditional stocks.
This nuance is what attracted the Ethereum Foundation, Cardano, and Solana to set up their headquarters in Switzerland. They knew exactly where they stood with the law.
The Unique Tax Situation: The Wealth Tax
For the individual investor living in Switzerland, the tax situation is both brilliant and slightly complicated. The headline news is fantastic: generally speaking, capital gains on cryptocurrencies are tax-exempt for private investors.
Imagine you buy Bitcoin at $20,000 on the Spot market and sell it at $100,000. In most countries, the government would take a massive chunk of that $80,000 profit. In Switzerland, if you are classified as a private investor, you keep it all. This zero-capital-gains policy is a major reason why so many crypto millionaires have relocated to the Alps.
However, there is a catch. Switzerland has something called a "Wealth Tax." Instead of taxing what you earn, the cantons tax what you own. At the end of every year, you must declare the total value of your crypto holdings along with your bank accounts and real estate. The tax rate is generally low, usually well under 1%, but it applies even if you didn't sell anything. So, if you are HODLing a massive stack of Bitcoin, you still have to pay a small fee to the government every year for the privilege of owning it.
Professional Trader vs. Private Investor
There is a gray area that every Swiss trader needs to watch out for. The tax authority distinguishes between a "private investor" and a "professional trader."
If you are simply buying and holding, you are safe. But if your trading activity is aggressive, you might be reclassified. The tax authorities look at factors like whether you are using high leverage, whether your trading volume is massive compared to your total net worth, or if you are using derivative products to hedge risks. If they deem you a "professional," your capital gains are no longer tax-free; they are taxed as income. This keeps traders on their toes, ensuring they don't cross the line unless they are ready to file as a business.
Banking Integration
Perhaps the most surreal part of the Swiss crypto experience is how normal it has become. In many countries, banks will freeze your account if you try to transfer money to a crypto exchange. In Switzerland, traditional banks are building crypto services directly into their apps.
You can walk into local government offices in Zug and pay your taxes in Bitcoin. You can buy crypto vouchers at ticket machines in train stations. The integration is seamless. The fear that crypto is used for money laundering is handled by strict AML (Anti-Money Laundering) laws that apply to all financial intermediaries, ensuring the system is clean without strangling innovation.
Conclusion
Switzerland has proven that regulation doesn't have to mean restriction. By providing clear rules, classifying tokens logically, and offering a tax environment that rewards long-term holding, they have built the gold standard for the crypto economy.
Whether you are in Switzerland or halfway across the world, you need a trading platform that matches this level of professionalism. Register at BYDFi today to access a secure, compliant, and high-performance trading environment for your digital assets.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Do I have to pay tax on crypto in Switzerland?
A: Private investors generally do not pay capital gains tax. However, you must pay an annual Wealth Tax on the total value of your holdings, and crypto received as salary is taxed as income.Q: Is mining crypto legal in Switzerland?
A: Yes, mining is legal. However, mining income is typically treated as self-employment income and is subject to income tax.Q: What is the "Crypto Valley"?
A: It is a region centered around the canton of Zug, known for its low taxes and crypto-friendly regulations, hosting hundreds of blockchain companies and foundations.2026-01-19 · 4 days ago0 052New Zealand Crypto Regulations: The Myth of the Tax-Free Paradise
If you look at a list of countries with "No Capital Gains Tax," New Zealand is often right near the top. For a cryptocurrency investor, this sounds like the promised land. You might imagine moving to Auckland, buying Bitcoin, selling it for a million-dollar profit, and keeping every single cent while the government smiles and waves.
But before you pack your bags and book a flight to Middle-earth, you need to read the fine print. New Zealand’s approach to cryptocurrency is unique, pragmatic, and heavily dependent on one tricky little word: Intent.
Unlike other countries that have written brand new laws specifically for blockchain, New Zealand has largely decided to fit crypto into its existing frameworks. The Inland Revenue Department (IRD) does not view cryptocurrency as "money" or "currency." Instead, they classify it as property. This distinction changes everything about how you are taxed and how you must report your holdings.
The "Intent" Trap
Here is where the dream of a tax-free paradise often runs into a wall. While New Zealand generally does not have a comprehensive capital gains tax, they do tax profits made from assets that were "acquired for the purpose of disposal."
This means the taxman is trying to read your mind. If you bought Bitcoin on the Spot market with the specific intention of selling it later for a profit, the IRD views that profit as taxable income. It doesn't matter if you held it for a week or a year; if the purpose was to flip it, you owe income tax at your standard marginal rate.
This creates a gray area that terrifies many investors. If you claim you bought it as a long-term store of value or for personal use, you might argue it’s tax-free. However, the burden of proof is often on you. If you are frequently trading, swapping altcoins, or engaging in Quick Buy transactions to catch market swings, the IRD will almost certainly classify you as a trader. In their eyes, you are running a business, and your profits are taxable income, just like a salary.
Salary and Staking: No Gray Area
While holding assets is a bit ambiguous, earning crypto is crystal clear. If you are paid in cryptocurrency—whether you are a developer receiving Ethereum or a freelancer accepting Bitcoin—that is treated exactly like regular income. The value is calculated in New Zealand Dollars (NZD) at the time of receipt, and you must pay income tax on it.
The same logic applies to mining and staking. If you are running a mining rig in your garage or staking Solana to earn yield, those rewards are considered income the moment they hit your wallet. You cannot wait until you sell them to declare the tax; the tax event happens when you receive the coin. This forces Kiwi investors to be incredibly diligent with their record-keeping, tracking the NZD price of every single staking reward payout.
The GST Victory
It isn't all complicated news, though. The New Zealand government has been quite progressive regarding Goods and Services Tax (GST).
In the early days, there was a fear of "double taxation." Imagine buying Bitcoin and paying 15% GST on the purchase, and then using that Bitcoin to buy a coffee and paying 15% GST on the coffee. That would have killed the industry instantly. Fortunately, the government stepped in. They clarified that cryptocurrencies are generally exempt from GST when they are bought or sold. This aligns New Zealand with global standards like Singapore and Australia, ensuring that the financial act of trading crypto isn't penalized with consumption taxes.
Regulation for Protection, Not Restriction
On the regulatory side, the Financial Markets Authority (FMA) keeps a watchful eye on the sector. They aren't trying to ban crypto; they are trying to stop scams.
The FMA focuses heavily on the "on-ramps"—the exchanges and brokers that let you convert NZD into crypto. They require these companies to adhere to strict Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Know Your Customer (KYC) laws. This means if you want to trade safely in New Zealand, you must verify your identity. While privacy advocates might grumble, this provides a layer of safety that protects the banking system and allows Kiwis to transfer funds to crypto platforms without their bank accounts getting frozen.
Conclusion
New Zealand offers a sophisticated, albeit slightly complex, environment for crypto investors. It isn't the tax-free haven some assume it to be, but it is far from hostile. It is a jurisdiction that rewards honesty and clear intent.
For the Kiwi investor—or anyone trading under similar property-based laws—the key is access to a platform that provides clear transaction history for your records. Register at BYDFi today to trade on a platform that prioritizes security and gives you the tools to track your portfolio performance accurately.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Do I pay tax on crypto in New Zealand if I just hold it?
A: Generally, no. You typically only trigger a tax event when you sell, swap, or dispose of the asset. However, you must prove you didn't buy it solely to sell for a profit.Q: Is crypto legal in New Zealand?
A: Yes, it is fully legal. The government views it as property, and exchanges operate legally under FMA oversight.Q: Can I pay my employees in Bitcoin in NZ?
A: Yes. The IRD has ruled that salaries can be paid in cryptocurrency, provided the crypto is pegged to a fiat currency or directly convertible to one, and taxes are deducted (PAYE) just like a normal salary.2026-01-19 · 4 days ago0 074Australia Crypto Regulations: How the ATO Watches Your Wallet
For a long time, Australian crypto investors operated with a sense of comfortable invisibility. It felt like the digital world was separate from the physical world, and what happened on the blockchain stayed on the blockchain. But in recent years, the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) has shattered that illusion with a program that sounds like it came straight out of a dystopian novel: Data Matching.
If you are trading cryptocurrency in Australia, you need to accept a harsh reality. The ATO likely knows more about your portfolio than you do. Since 2019, they have been collecting data directly from all registered Australian exchanges. They know when you bought, they know when you sold, and they know exactly how much profit you made. The days of flying under the radar are officially over, and understanding the rules is no longer optional; it is a survival skill.
Asset, Not Money: The CGT Reality
The core of the Australian regulatory framework is how they classify cryptocurrency. Despite Bitcoin being called a "currency," the Australian government views it as an asset, similar to a property or a share in a company. This means that almost every time you dispose of crypto, you trigger a Capital Gains Tax (CGT) event.
This catches many traders off guard. If you buy Ethereum on the Spot market and then swap it for Solana, that is a taxable event. You technically "sold" the Ethereum to buy the Solana, and if the Ethereum went up in value during the time you held it, you owe tax on that profit in Australian Dollars. You cannot wait until you cash out to your bank account to pay the tax man; the debt is created the moment the trade happens.
The 12-Month Discount Strategy
However, the Australian system offers one massive incentive that encourages investors to have diamond hands. It is called the 50% CGT Discount.
If you hold an asset for more than 12 months before selling it, you only have to pay tax on half of the profit. This is a game-changer for portfolio strategy. It means that a day trader who is constantly flipping coins using high-frequency strategies or Copy Trading will pay significantly more tax than a patient investor who buys Bitcoin and sits on it for a year and a day. The government is effectively paying you to be patient.
The Myth of Personal Use
There is a persistent rumor in Australian crypto forums about the "Personal Use Asset" exemption. The law says that if you buy crypto for personal use and the cost is under $10,000, you might be exempt from tax.
Many investors mistakenly believe this means their first $10,000 of trading profit is tax-free. This is almost never true. The ATO has clarified that this exemption is extremely narrow. It really only applies if you buy Bitcoin to immediately purchase a concert ticket or a coffee. If you hold the coin even for a short period hoping the price goes up, it is no longer for personal use; it is an investment, and it is fully taxable. Relying on this loophole is a dangerous game that usually ends in a painful audit.
Safety Through AUSTRAC
While the taxes are strict, the safety is world-class. Australia requires all digital currency exchanges to register with AUSTRAC, the government's financial intelligence agency.
This makes Australia one of the safest places in the world to be a crypto investor. It means that the platforms operating legally are monitored for money laundering and terrorism financing risks. They have to verify who you are. This strict "Know Your Customer" (KYC) environment might feel invasive, but it significantly reduces the risk of the exchange vanishing overnight with your funds. It provides a layer of institutional trust that allows everyday Aussies to Register and invest their savings without fear of a rugged platform.
Staking and the Income Tax Trap
The complexity ramps up when you move beyond simple trading into DeFi and staking. The ATO treats staking rewards and airdrops differently from trading profits. They are considered "Ordinary Income."
This means if you receive 1 ETH as a staking reward, you must declare the value of that 1 ETH as income on your tax return, just like a salary from your job. If the price of Ethereum then crashes, you still owe tax on the value it had when you received it. This can create a cash flow nightmare if you aren't careful, forcing you to sell assets just to pay the tax bill on rewards that have lost value.
Conclusion
Australia has transitioned from a gray market to one of the most strictly regulated crypto environments on earth. The ATO is watching, the rules are clear, and the penalties for getting it wrong are steep.
But with regulation comes stability. You can trade with confidence knowing that the infrastructure is sound. The key is to keep immaculate records. Don't let the tax complexity scare you away from the opportunity. Register at BYDFi today to access a platform that gives you the precise trading history you need to keep the tax man happy while you grow your wealth.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Does the ATO actually know about my crypto?
A: Yes. Through the Data Matching Program, the ATO collects data from Designated Service Providers (exchanges) to identify people who have not declared their crypto income.Q: Is crypto tax-free if I hold it for a year?
A: No, but it is tax-discounted. If you hold for more than 12 months, individual investors receive a 50% discount on the capital gains tax payable.Q: Can I claim a tax deduction for crypto losses?
A: Yes. Capital losses can be used to offset capital gains. If you lost money on a bad trade, you can subtract that loss from your profits to lower your tax bill.2026-01-19 · 4 days ago0 043Pump.fun says creator fees may have distorted incentives, plans overhaul
A Turning Point for Solana’s Largest Memecoin Launchpad
Pump.fun, one of the most influential memecoin launchpads built on Solana, is entering a new phase after publicly acknowledging that its creator fee model may have unintentionally harmed the platform’s long-term health. The announcement signals a strategic shift for a protocol that has played a defining role in shaping the memecoin boom throughout 2025.
Creator Fees That Worked — Until They Didn’t
According to co-founder Alon Cohen, the Dynamic Fees V1 system initially succeeded in boosting engagement and attracting new creators. Token launches surged, livestream activity exploded, and onchain metrics briefly reached some of their strongest levels of the year. During this period, Pump.fun’s bonding curve volumes more than doubled, reinforcing the perception that the model was working.
However, that growth proved fragile. Cohen later concluded that the system incentivized low-risk token creation over high-risk trading, a dynamic he described as dangerous for market stability. Traders, he emphasized, are the primary source of liquidity and volume, and sidelining them ultimately weakens the entire ecosystem.
When Incentives Favor Minting Over Markets
While creator fees helped a small number of serious teams with active development plans, they failed to change the behavior of most memecoin deployers. In practice, the fees became a motivation to mint as many tokens as possible rather than commit to building deep, liquid markets.
Cohen also pointed out that the user experience often forced traders into uncomfortable situations, such as relying on community takeovers or trusting anonymous actors to keep their promises. This lack of structure eroded confidence and discouraged long-term participation.
Inside Pump.fun’s New Creator Fee Framework
In response, Pump.fun is rolling out the first stage of a redesigned creator fee system. The new framework allows creators and Community Takeover administrators to split fees across up to ten wallets, define precise allocation percentages, transfer ownership of coins, and revoke update authority once a project reaches maturity.
These changes are designed to promote transparency and accountability, while ensuring that responsibility is shared among teams rather than concentrated in a single wallet.
No Fees for the Platform Itself
Cohen made it clear that Pump.fun will not collect creator fees under any circumstances. The system is intended exclusively for creators and active market participants, not the platform. Fees can be claimed at any time and will not expire if left unclaimed, offering flexibility without forcing rushed decisions.
Pump.fun’s Continued Dominance on Solana
Despite recent fluctuations in memecoin hype, Pump.fun remains the dominant launchpad on Solana. Its near-frictionless token creation process and standardized path to liquidity have made it the default destination for memecoin experimentation. Although a rival briefly overtook it in volume during the summer, aggressive PUMP token buybacks and incentive adjustments helped Pump.fun reclaim control of roughly 75% to 80% of Solana’s memecoin launches by late 2025.
A Broader Shift in the Crypto Market
Pump.fun’s redesign reflects a wider trend across crypto markets, where platforms are increasingly forced to rethink incentive models that prioritize short-term volume over sustainable growth. As speculation cools, traders are demanding better liquidity, clearer rules, and stronger market structure.
Why Traders Are Looking Beyond Launchpads
In this environment, many traders are turning to established platforms such as BYDFi, which offers deep liquidity, advanced trading tools, and robust risk management features. Unlike experimental launchpads, BYDFi provides a structured trading environment for both spot and derivatives markets, making it a preferred choice for users seeking exposure to crypto opportunities with greater stability.
What Comes Next for Pump.fun
As Pump.fun attempts to realign its ecosystem, the success of its new creator fee system will be closely watched across the industry. Whether the changes restore balance between creators and traders remains uncertain, but the message is clear: incentive design matters.
For traders navigating an evolving market landscape, combining early-stage opportunities with reliable platforms like BYDFi may prove to be the most sustainable strategy moving forward.
2026-01-19 · 4 days ago0 039Banks’ Stablecoin Fears Are Unsubstantiated Myths, Says Professor
Banks’ Stablecoin Fears Are Built on Myths, Says Columbia Professor
As US lawmakers prepare to move forward with long-awaited crypto market structure legislation, a fierce battle is unfolding behind the scenes — and stablecoins have become the unexpected flashpoint. According to a Columbia Business School professor, the loudest objections coming from the banking sector are not based on evidence, but on fear of losing profits.
Omid Malekan, an adjunct professor at Columbia and a well-known crypto educator, argues that much of the resistance to stablecoin yield-sharing is rooted in misinformation deliberately pushed to protect the traditional banking model. In a recent post on X, Malekan expressed frustration that progress on crypto legislation is being slowed by what he described as unsubstantiated myths surrounding stablecoin economics.
The Real Fight: Who Controls Stablecoin Yield?
At the heart of the debate lies a simple but powerful question: who should benefit from the interest generated by stablecoin reserves?
Stablecoin issuers typically hold reserves in US Treasury bills and bank deposits, which generate yield. Banks and their lobbyists argue that allowing issuers or platforms to share this yield with users creates a dangerous loophole. Their fear is that consumers, attracted by passive returns of around 5%, could pull billions of dollars out of traditional savings accounts, triggering a so-called deposit flight.
Malekan rejects this argument outright, calling it a convenient narrative designed to shield banks from competition rather than protect the financial system.
Why Stablecoins Don’t Drain Bank Deposits
One of the most persistent claims from the banking industry is that stablecoin adoption will inevitably shrink bank deposits. Malekan says this assumption ignores how the stablecoin market actually works.
Much of the demand for stablecoins comes from outside the United States. When foreign users purchase dollar-backed stablecoins, issuers are required to place reserves into US-based assets, including Treasury bills and bank deposits. Rather than draining the system, this process can inject new capital into American banks and government debt markets.
From this perspective, stablecoins are not a threat to deposits but a mechanism that can expand financial activity across borders.
Competition Isn’t the Problem — Profits Are
Another key myth, according to Malekan, is that stablecoins will cripple bank lending. In reality, stablecoins do not prevent banks from issuing loans. What they do is challenge banks’ ability to pay near-zero interest while earning substantial returns elsewhere.
Today, the average US savings account yields just over half a percent. If banks fear losing customers to yield-bearing stablecoins, Malekan argues, the solution is straightforward: pay savers more. Stablecoins introduce competition, not collapse.
Banks Are No Longer the Main Credit Engine
The argument that stablecoins could choke off credit also ignores a structural shift in the US financial system. Banks now provide only about one-fifth of total credit in the economy. The majority comes from non-bank sources such as money market funds, private credit firms, and capital markets.
These sectors could actually benefit from stablecoin adoption through faster settlement, lower transaction costs, and potentially reduced Treasury yields. Rather than weakening the system, stablecoins may enhance its efficiency.
Community Banks Aren’t the Real Victims
Much of the lobbying effort frames community and regional banks as the most vulnerable players. Malekan calls this another misleading narrative.
According to him, large money-center banks have far more to lose if stablecoins disrupt the status quo. Community banks are often used as a shield in public messaging, while the real objective is protecting the outsized profits of the largest financial institutions.
He describes the situation as an uncomfortable alliance between big banks defending their margins and certain crypto startups pitching services to smaller banks under the guise of protection.
Savers Matter Too — Not Just Borrowers
Public policy discussions often focus heavily on borrowers, but Malekan insists that savers deserve equal attention. Preventing stablecoin issuers from sharing yield effectively forces consumers to subsidize bank profits by accepting minimal returns on their money.
A healthy economy depends on both savers and borrowers. Blocking innovation that benefits savers simply to preserve existing profit structures undermines that balance.
Congress Faces a Choice: Consumers or Corporations
Malekan concludes with a clear message to lawmakers. The stablecoin yield debate should not be about preserving legacy advantages but about encouraging innovation and serving consumers.
He warns that many of the claims circulating in Washington lack empirical support and urges Congress to remain focused on progress rather than pressure from powerful lobbies.
Growing Pushback Against Banking Influence
The debate has also drawn reactions from legal and political figures. Lawyer and Senate candidate John Deaton recently reminded voters that senators are facing intense pressure from banking interests to prevent platforms like Coinbase from offering stablecoin rewards.
Deaton’s message was blunt: banks and career politicians do not necessarily act in the public’s best interest. He pointed out that restrictions on stablecoin yields could stifle innovation and limit consumer choice.
Coinbase has reportedly gone as far as warning that it may withdraw support for the CLARITY Act if lawmakers impose restrictions on stablecoin rewards beyond basic disclosure requirements — a sign of how high the stakes have become.
A Defining Moment for Crypto Regulation
As the market structure bill heads toward markup, the stablecoin yield issue may determine whether the US embraces a more competitive, consumer-focused financial system or reinforces the dominance of traditional banks.
2026-01-19 · 4 days ago0 032US Senate Agriculture Committee Delays Crypto Bill Markup to Month’s End
US Senate Delays Crypto Market Structure Bill as Bipartisan Talks Continue
The push to bring regulatory clarity to the US crypto market has hit another temporary pause. Lawmakers on the US Senate Agriculture Committee have decided to delay the markup of the highly anticipated crypto market structure bill, pushing the process to the final week of January as negotiations continue behind the scenes.
The decision reflects ongoing efforts to secure broader bipartisan backing for legislation that could fundamentally reshape how digital assets are regulated in the United States.
Why the Senate Agriculture Committee Hit Pause
Senate Agriculture Committee Chairman John Boozman confirmed that the committee needs additional time to finalize unresolved details and bring more lawmakers on board. While progress has been made, Boozman emphasized that moving forward without sufficient bipartisan support could weaken the bill’s long-term viability.
According to Boozman, discussions have been constructive, and lawmakers are actively working toward consensus. However, the complexity of crypto regulation, combined with political sensitivities, has made it clear that rushing the markup could be counterproductive.
The committee now plans to mark up the legislation during the last week of January, giving negotiators a narrow window to bridge remaining gaps.
What This Crypto Bill Is Trying to Achieve
At the center of the debate is the question of who regulates what in the crypto industry. The bill aims to clearly define the roles of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, two agencies that have long overlapped in their oversight of digital assets.
For years, crypto companies and investors have operated in a regulatory gray zone, often facing enforcement actions without clear guidance. This legislation is expected to establish firm boundaries, offering long-awaited certainty for exchanges, developers, and institutional investors alike.
Because the Senate Agriculture Committee oversees the CFTC, its involvement is critical to shaping how commodities-like digital assets are regulated going forward.
Senate vs House: Different Paths to Crypto Regulation
The Senate bill is not the same as the House’s CLARITY Act, which passed in July. Due to procedural rules, the Senate must advance its own version, even though both bills aim to address similar regulatory challenges.
Originally, the Agriculture Committee planned to align its markup with the Senate Banking Committee, which oversees the SEC. While the Banking Committee is still expected to proceed, the Agriculture Committee’s delay introduces uncertainty into the timeline for unified Senate action.
This divergence highlights the difficulty of coordinating crypto legislation across committees with different priorities and regulatory philosophies.
Stablecoin Yields and Ethics Rules Take Center Stage
One of the most contentious areas in ongoing negotiations involves stablecoins and ethics provisions. Lawmakers and lobbyists are pushing for changes that would ban all stablecoin yield payments, extending restrictions beyond issuers to include third-party platforms such as crypto exchanges.
This push follows the GENIUS Act, which already prohibited stablecoin issuers from offering yields. Traditional banking lobbyists argue that allowing exchanges to provide yields creates unfair competition and regulatory loopholes.
At the same time, several Democratic senators are pressing for stronger ethics rules. These proposals include conflict-of-interest provisions designed to prevent public officials from profiting from ties to crypto companies, with some language explicitly covering the president and senior government officials.
Industry Pushback and Developer Protections
Crypto advocacy groups and major industry players are actively lobbying to protect software developers and non-custodial platforms. Their concern is that overly broad definitions could classify developers as financial intermediaries, subjecting them to compliance requirements designed for banks and brokers.
The industry argues that such a move would stifle innovation, push development offshore, and undermine the decentralized nature of blockchain technology. Ensuring that open-source developers are excluded from intermediary classifications remains a key demand from the crypto sector.
Political Risks and the Midterm Election Factor
Despite the momentum surrounding crypto regulation, political reality looms large. Investment bank TD Cowen recently warned that upcoming US midterm elections could significantly reduce the support needed to pass the bill.
If control of Congress shifts or political priorities change, the legislation could be delayed for years. TD Cowen suggested that the bill is more likely to pass in 2027, with full implementation potentially not arriving until 2029.
This timeline underscores why the crypto industry is watching January’s markup so closely. For many stakeholders, it may represent one of the last realistic windows for meaningful reform in the near term.
What Comes Next for US Crypto Regulation
While the delay may disappoint market participants eager for clarity, it also signals that lawmakers are taking the process seriously. A bill passed with strong bipartisan support is far more likely to survive political shifts and legal challenges.
As the final week of January approaches, attention will remain firmly fixed on Capitol Hill. Whether lawmakers can reconcile competing interests and deliver a comprehensive framework may determine the future of crypto innovation in the United States.
Ready to Take Control of Your Crypto Journey? Start Trading Safely on BYDFi
2026-01-19 · 4 days ago0 057VanEck Predicts Q1 Will Mark a Shift Toward Risk-On Investing
VanEck Sees Q1 2026 as a Turning Point Toward a Risk-On Market Environment
Global investment firm VanEck believes the first quarter of 2026 could mark a decisive shift in investor sentiment, transforming markets into a risk-on environment after years of uncertainty. According to the firm’s latest outlook, clearer fiscal policies, more predictable monetary direction, and stronger thematic visibility are restoring confidence across global markets.
In its Q1 2026 outlook, VanEck highlighted something investors have not experienced consistently in recent years: visibility. As markets enter the new year, uncertainty around government spending, interest rate policy, and long-term economic direction appears to be easing, creating fertile ground for risk assets to regain momentum.
However, while optimism is spreading across equities, technology, and emerging investment themes, Bitcoin’s role in this evolving environment remains complex and less predictable than in past cycles.
Bitcoin’s Traditional Cycle No Longer Tells the Full Story
VanEck noted that Bitcoin’s long-observed four-year cycle broke down in 2025, making short-term signals far less reliable. This structural shift has introduced new challenges for crypto investors trying to time market movements based on historical patterns.
As a result, the firm adopts a more cautious near-term stance on Bitcoin over the next three to six months, even as broader risk appetite improves. That caution is not unanimous across VanEck’s leadership, as some executives remain more constructive on Bitcoin’s immediate trajectory, suggesting internal debate on how crypto will respond to the macro shift.
Despite this uncertainty, Bitcoin’s recent behavior indicates a market that has matured. Following a major deleveraging event in October, Bitcoin decoupled from both equity and gold markets, trading sideways while leverage was flushed out of the system.
Why Risk-On Conditions Matter for Crypto and Tech Assets
A risk-on environment traditionally favors assets such as technology stocks, artificial intelligence plays, and cryptocurrencies. When investors feel more confident about economic stability and policy direction, they tend to allocate more capital to growth-oriented and higher-volatility investments.
Bitcoin’s recent sideways movement may appear underwhelming on the surface, but analysts argue it reflects a healthier market structure. With leverage reduced and speculative excess removed, price action has become more grounded, allowing accumulation to occur quietly beneath the surface.
Market participants increasingly see this phase as consolidation rather than weakness, particularly as broader macro conditions tilt in favor of risk assets.
Fiscal Stability Begins to Calm Long-Term Market Fears
One of the most significant drivers behind VanEck’s optimistic outlook is the gradual improvement in the US fiscal picture. While deficits remain elevated, they are shrinking relative to GDP compared to the historic peaks reached during the COVID era.
This fiscal stabilization is playing a crucial role in anchoring long-term interest rates and reducing tail risks that have haunted markets for years. As uncertainty around government borrowing and spending eases, investors gain confidence in long-term asset allocation decisions.
VanEck emphasizes that this process is gradual, but meaningful enough to reshape expectations for 2026 and beyond.
Analysts See a Cleaner Market After 2025’s Reset
Industry analysts echo VanEck’s view that markets are entering 2026 in a healthier state. According to Arctic Digital’s head of research, recent price action confirms that much of last year’s excess speculation has been removed.
Bitcoin’s steady rise in a low-leverage environment suggests a more realistic balance between bulls and bears. Oversold indicators are beginning to recover, and extreme bearish narratives have faded, replaced by cautious optimism.
Even geopolitical tensions and friction between policymakers and central banks have not derailed sentiment. Instead, many analysts believe crypto is positioned to catch up as broader risk appetite strengthens.
2026 Outlook Strengthens as Political Catalysts Approach
Looking beyond the first quarter, several researchers argue that the market trajectory for the first half of 2026 is becoming increasingly clear. With US midterm elections approaching, fiscal and financial conditions are expected to favor risk assets even further.
Fiscal stimulus, accommodative monetary policy, and more constructive regulatory developments are aligning to create what many describe as a classic risk-on macro window. In this environment, Bitcoin and the wider crypto market could benefit significantly as capital flows return to alternative assets.
Some investors go even further, arguing that the current macro landscape mirrors the very conditions Bitcoin was designed for, marked by institutional uncertainty, sovereign diversification, and rising geopolitical risk.
Can Bitcoin Reclaim Six Figures?
Optimism around Bitcoin’s price remains strong among prominent analysts. Several market watchers believe Bitcoin is on the verge of reclaiming six-figure territory, driven by sustained buying pressure and strong technical support.
Bitcoin has consistently held above key moving averages, with buyers stepping in during pullbacks. This prolonged consolidation range is increasingly viewed as a launchpad rather than a ceiling.
According to bullish forecasts, a clean break above the $92,000 level could trigger a rapid move toward $100,000 within days, reflecting pent-up momentum after nearly two months of sideways trading.
Final Thoughts: Visibility May Be the Catalyst Markets Needed
VanEck’s outlook suggests that clarity, not speculation, could be the defining force of early 2026. As fiscal and monetary uncertainty fades, investors are gaining the confidence needed to embrace risk once again.
While Bitcoin’s path may not follow historical patterns, its resilience during consolidation, combined with improving macro conditions, positions it as a potential beneficiary of the broader risk-on shift.
For investors navigating 2026, the message is clear: visibility is back, confidence is rebuilding, and the market may be entering a new phase where opportunity favors those prepared for calculated risk.
Ready to Take Control of Your Crypto Journey? Start Trading Safely on BYDFi
2026-01-19 · 4 days ago0 039
BYDFi Official Blog
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