Bitcoin Has Leveled Up: The Old Bear Market Triggers Are Now Extinct.

For years, the crypto world has been conditioned to expect the same script. A glorious, euphoric bull run, followed by a cataclysmic event that plunges us into a multi-year crypto winter.
We've seen it with exchange collapses like Mt. Gox, the bursting of the ICO bubble, and the fraud-fueled implosion of FTX. The trigger has almost always been something crypto-native: a failure of our own internal infrastructure or a cleansing of our own speculative excess.
Now, a prominent on-chain analyst is making a bold and chilling prediction: that script is dead. The trigger for the next bear market, he argues, will be something entirely new.
I see this theory as both brilliant and terrifying. He's right that the very fabric of the market has changed. This is no longer a sandboxed, retail-driven casino. This is Wall Street's turf now.
The introduction of spot ETFs has tethered Bitcoin to the global macro-economic machine in a way it has never been before. The players are bigger, the capital is more sophisticated, and the potential points of failure are completely different.
The next crash won't be triggered by a rogue crypto exchange CEO; it could be triggered by a sudden shift in Fed policy, a credit crisis in the traditional banking system, or a massive, coordinated de-risking by institutional players who view Bitcoin as just another line on their spreadsheet.
So are we witnessing the maturation of crypto into a "real" asset class that is now subject to the same old boring risks as the stock market? Or have we just invited a much larger, more dangerous predator into our ecosystem, one that will cause the next bear market to be even more brutal than the last?
20 Answer
This isn’t the same cycle. The predators are bigger now.
Crypto has graduated. The next crisis won't be from within, but from a global macro shock. The old rules no longer apply.
The crypto market is inherently volatile, and new challenges can emerge that could impact Bitcoin's performance. Continuous monitoring of market trends and developments will be crucial for understanding the sustainability of this bullish sentiment.
Bitcoin’s evolution feels undeniable here, as old bearish narratives crumble into irrelevance
Bitcoin’s behavior this cycle is totally different. Old bearish triggers barely have any effect now. Feels like BTC is entering a new phase of market maturity.
Give me a break. A bear market is a bear market. It will be caused by the same thing that always causes it: human greed, over-leverage, and then mass panic. The trigger doesn't matter; the psychology is the same.
The big money from the ETFs will want to secure their profits at some point. The trigger will be a massive, coordinated institutional profit-taking event that retail won't see coming until it's too late.
The game has changed. The old cycle of crypto-native blow-ups is over. The next bear market will be a macro-driven one, just like any other mature asset class. This is a sign of success.
Who cares what the trigger is? We know a bear market is coming eventually. Your job isn't to predict the cause; your job is to have a plan, take profits, and manage your risk. Everything else is just intellectual masturbation.
The trigger is, and always will be, the collapse of the over-hyped altcoin casino. Bitcoin will have a deep correction, but the "bear market" will be the 99% of worthless tokens going to zero, just like last time.
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